Pub Landlord 66/1 to win Thanet South

thanetsouth

Thanet South was already projected to be the top betting constituency of the election, and Al Murray’s decision to stand can only help. There are already eight intended runners here, and we might even get close to the all time record of fifteen candidates.

We make him a narrow underdog in a match bet against the Lib Dems; I expect both will poll under 5% and lose their deposits. If I had to guess, I’d predict he will get around 2% of the vote, so it’s unlikely his standing will make any difference to the result. On balance, it will probably be marginally helpful to Nigel Farage’s chances of winning, but not enough to cause any shift in the odds.

pubspec

promoDisplay

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s